Monday, February 7, 2011

QB Completion Rating

NFL QB's, 2010-11 Season, that stat
D. Brees 19.06
P. Manning 18.64
P. Rivers 14.72
M. Schaub 14.51
C. Palmer 13.98
M. Ryan 13.95
T. Brady 13.33
E. Manning 13.32
S. Bradford 13.27
A. Rodgers 12.81
J. Flacco 11.97
C. Henne 11.56
K. Orton 10.77
M. Sanchez 9.527

Just Pass Completions / Attempt. Not even close to describing rating of QB's, since there's an effect of yards. Rodgers for example lit it up during the playoffs, Tom Brady amazing 9-1, TD-INT ratio. Attempts not as important as in the NBA, so attrition should grow slower maybe x^(1.x) instead of x^(2)? And I want to scale the rating to how many yards thrown.

About marginal difficulty of making another field goal is about
like that in economics. The rate of change. I need to figure that out.

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One more basketball thing
Spurs 2006-7 and Magic 2008-9 were similar
Both appeared in finals. Both had a dominant defense, anchored by their centers. Duncan = Dwight

If
*Duncan 7 foot = Dwight 7 foot
*Ginobili 6 foot 6 = ???
*Parker 6 foot 2 = Nelson 6 foot

Oberto 6 foot 10 = Gortat 6 foot 10
Bowen 6 foot 7 = Pietrus 6 foot 6
Finley/Berry 6 foot 7 = Barnes 6 foot 7

Ginobili was the difference. And they tried to fit in Vince Carter
Thus Ginobili > Vinsanity

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Also Spurs have a shocking 42 wins but no media coverage.  Can they win 70 games?
In 1995-6 the Bulls had 5 loses right around now (this is an anniversary of their back-to-back losses), the Spurs have 8. They would have to lose about 4 more games through the whole season to reach 70. The toughest games remaining:
v.MIA: 3/4
v.LAL: 3/6
@MIA: 3/14
@DAL: 3/18
v.BOS: 3/31
@LAL: 4/12

They'd have to win two of those games

Spurs Losses so far:
vs. New Orleans  (second game of their season)
vs. Dallas
@ LA Clippers
@ Orlando
@ New York
@ Boston (back to back losses)
@ New Orleans
@ Portland

Dallas Mavericks had 67 wins couple of seasons back, maybe Spurs will to?

Oh neato ESPN link
http://espn.go.com/nba/features/best

On pace to 69 wins, god damn.

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